Italy vs Finland: result 2-0 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipQualifying Round - 1Kick-off on March 23, 2019 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Full time
What was the result of Italy vs Finland?
Italy won 2-0 on March 23, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 7′N. BarellaItaly
- 74′M. KeanItaly
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Finland have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2018 | USA(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2018 | Portugal(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 14, 2018 | Poland(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 10, 2018 | Ukraine(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 10, 2018 | Portugal(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2018 | Hungary(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2018 | Greece(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 15, 2018 | Greece(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2018 | Estonia(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Estonia(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Finland score 1.3 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 0.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| Finland | 1.3 | 0.5 | 10 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Italy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy