Finland vs Lithuania: result 2-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 7Kick-off on October 9, 2025 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Helsingin olympiastadion, Helsingfors
Full time
What was the result of Finland vs Lithuania?
Finland won 2-1 on October 9, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 25′P. ŠirvysLithuania
- 48′B. KällmanFinland
- 55′A. MarhievFinland
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Finland have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Lithuania have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2025 | Poland(away) | 1-3 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 4, 2025 | Norway(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Poland(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Netherlands(home) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Lithuania(away) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2025 | Netherlands(home) | 2-3 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 4, 2025 | Malta(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Denmark(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Malta(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Finland(home) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Finland win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Lithuania win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2025 | Lithuania 2-2 Finland | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
How many goals should we expect?
Finland score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lithuania score 0.9 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finland | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Lithuania | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Finland sit 3rd in World Cup - Qualification Europe (10 points from 8 matches) and Lithuania sit 5th (3 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Finland | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 10 |
| 5 | Lithuania | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy