FK Chayka 2 vs Sevastopol: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 29Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Sevastopol the favourite at 85%, against 10% for a draw and 5% for FK Chayka 2. The most likely score is 0-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Chayka 2 vs Sevastopol?
Sevastopol is a heavy favourite: 1,925 Elo points against 1,542, a 383-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FK Chayka 2 vs Sevastopol
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FK Chayka 2
Not enough data to predict the FK Chayka 2 lineup.
Sevastopol
Not enough data to predict the Sevastopol lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Chayka 2 have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Sevastopol have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Spartak Nalchik(away) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Angust Nazran(home) | 5-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(away) | 0-4 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kyzyltash(home) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lugansk(home) | 1-5 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Izberbash(home) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II(away) | 6-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lugansk(home) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Rostov II(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(home) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 FK Chayka 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 Sevastopol win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Sevastopol 2-0 FK Chayka 2 | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Sevastopol vs FK Chayka 2 on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FK Chayka 2 score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sevastopol score 2.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Chayka 2 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Sevastopol | 2.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Chayka 2 sit 14th in Second League - Group 1 (14 points from 21 matches) and Sevastopol sit 1st (50 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sevastopol | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 50 |
| 14 | FK Chayka 2 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 43 | 14 |
A question about FK Chayka 2 vs Sevastopol?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Chayka 2 vs Sevastopol?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sevastopol the favourite at 85%, against 10% for a draw and 5% for FK Chayka 2.
- Where and when is FK Chayka 2 vs Sevastopol played?
- FK Chayka 2 vs Sevastopol is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.