Pobeda vs Nart Cherkessk: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 29Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Spartak Khasavyurt, Khasavyurt
The Footlab AI model makes Nart Cherkessk the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Pobeda. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nart Cherkessk wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pobeda vs Nart Cherkessk?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Pobeda (1,690) and Nart Cherkessk (1,725).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pobeda vs Nart Cherkessk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pobeda
4-3-3- 9I. Vagabov
- 29A. Avagumyan
- 7R. Salimov
- 25M. Azarenkov
- 8Mutaalim Magomedov
- 37A. Temukov
- 4I. Yamalavov
- 33R. Khalimbekov
- 15A. Abdulaev
- 19S. Kurbanov
- 16A. Sultanaliev
Nart Cherkessk
4-3-3- 77A. Olenev
- 14K. Appaev
- 97Y. Dol
- 61O. Korotkov
- 30E. Tkhakokhov
- 10I. Dokhov
- 8A. Kuskov
- 40K. Shakhtiev
- 71A. Lelyukaev
- 22M. Temishev
- 24A. Magomedov
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pobeda have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Nart Cherkessk have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Angust Nazran(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spartak Nalchik(home) | 4-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II(away) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Astrakhan(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lugansk(away) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II(home) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Izberbash(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Angust Nazran(home) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Druzhba(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pobeda win, 1 draw, 4 Nart Cherkessk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk 0-1 Pobeda | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Pobeda 0-0 Nart Cherkessk | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Nart Cherkessk 1-0 Pobeda | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Nart Cherkessk 1-0 Pobeda | Second League - Group 1 |
| May 31, 2025 | Pobeda 0-1 Nart Cherkessk | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Nart Cherkessk 1-0 Pobeda | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Nart Cherkessk vs Pobeda on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pobeda score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Nart Cherkessk score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pobeda | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Nart Cherkessk | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pobeda sit 5th in Second League - Group 1 (33 points from 20 matches) and Nart Cherkessk sit 7th (30 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pobeda | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 27 | 33 |
| 7 | Nart Cherkessk | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 19 | 30 |
A question about Pobeda vs Nart Cherkessk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pobeda vs Nart Cherkessk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nart Cherkessk the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Pobeda.
- Where and when is Pobeda vs Nart Cherkessk played?
- Pobeda vs Nart Cherkessk is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Spartak Khasavyurt, in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.