Pobeda vs Nart Cherkessk: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 29Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Spartak Khasavyurt, Khasavyurt
The Footlab model makes Nart Cherkessk the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Pobeda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pobeda vs Nart Cherkessk?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Pobeda (1,675) and Nart Cherkessk (1,720).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pobeda have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Nart Cherkessk have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lugansk(home) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Volgar Astrakhan(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sevastopol(home) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(away) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(home) | 4-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dinamo Stavropol(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(home) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sevastopol(away) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pobeda win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Nart Cherkessk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk 0-1 Pobeda | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Pobeda 0-0 Nart Cherkessk | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Nart Cherkessk 1-0 Pobeda | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Nart Cherkessk 1-0 Pobeda | Second League - Group 1 |
| May 31, 2025 | Pobeda 0-1 Nart Cherkessk | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Nart Cherkessk 1-0 Pobeda | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Nart Cherkessk vs Pobeda on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pobeda score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nart Cherkessk score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pobeda | 2.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Nart Cherkessk | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pobeda sit 6th in Second League - Group 1 (30 points from 18 matches) and Nart Cherkessk sit 7th (28 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pobeda | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 36 | 22 | 30 |
| 7 | Nart Cherkessk | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 16 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pobeda vs Nart Cherkessk?
- The Footlab model makes Nart Cherkessk the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Pobeda.
- Where and when is Pobeda vs Nart Cherkessk played?
- Pobeda vs Nart Cherkessk is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Spartak Khasavyurt, in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.