Aigle Noir vs Bumamuru: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Peace Park Progress, Makamba
The Footlab AI model makes Aigle Noir the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Bumamuru. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aigle Noir wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aigle Noir vs Bumamuru?
Aigle Noir starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,701 vs 1,545).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aigle Noir vs Bumamuru
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aigle Noir
Not enough data to predict the Aigle Noir lineup.
Bumamuru
4-3-3- 11A. Shabani Valentin
- 10A. Ndikumana
- 7T. Ngabirano
- 8T. Ndikumana
- 14M. Eldhino
- 15S. Ramadhani
- 2I. Hakizimana
- 30F. Ndikumana
- 17F. Ndagijimana
- 21A. Mama
- 1H. Nduwimana
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aigle Noir have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Bumamuru have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kayanza United(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ngozi City(home) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Vital'O(away) | 2-3 | Ligue A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 0-2 | CAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Young Star(away) | 3-0 | Ligue A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(home) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Olympic Star(away) | 1-3 | Ligue A |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Musongati(home) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Panthere Noir(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aigle Noir wins, 4 draws, 0 Bumamuru wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Aigle Noir 2-1 Bumamuru | Ligue A |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Bumamuru 1-1 Aigle Noir | Ligue A |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Aigle Noir 0-0 Bumamuru | Ligue A |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Bumamuru 1-1 Aigle Noir | Ligue A |
| Jan 24, 2024 | Aigle Noir 4-1 Bumamuru | Ligue A |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Bumamuru 1-1 Aigle Noir | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Aigle Noir vs Bumamuru on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aigle Noir score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bumamuru score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aigle Noir | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Bumamuru | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aigle Noir sit 3rd in Ligue A (10 points from 5 matches) and Bumamuru sit 11th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aigle Noir | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Bumamuru | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
A question about Aigle Noir vs Bumamuru?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aigle Noir vs Bumamuru?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aigle Noir the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Bumamuru.
- Where and when is Aigle Noir vs Bumamuru played?
- Aigle Noir vs Bumamuru is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Peace Park Progress, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.