Kayanza United vs Muzinga: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal, Muyinga
The Footlab model makes Kayanza United the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Muzinga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kayanza United vs Muzinga?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Kayanza United (1,442) and Muzinga (1,410).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kayanza United have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Muzinga have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Young Star(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(home) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Dynamik(home) | 3-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Muzinga(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(home) | 2-2 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi(away) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Never Give Up Academy(home) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| May 8, 2026 | Green Farmers FC(away) | 4-2 | Ligue A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kayanza United(home) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Garage Express(away) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Kayanza United win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Muzinga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Muzinga 0-0 Kayanza United | Ligue A |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Kayanza United 1-1 Muzinga | Ligue A |
| Jan 9, 2021 | Kayanza United 4-1 Muzinga | Ligue A |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Muzinga 0-1 Kayanza United | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Muzinga vs Kayanza United on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kayanza United score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Muzinga score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayanza United | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Muzinga | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kayanza United sit 10th in Ligue A (2 points from 2 matches) and Muzinga sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Muzinga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Kayanza United | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kayanza United vs Muzinga?
- The Footlab model makes Kayanza United the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Muzinga.
- Where and when is Kayanza United vs Muzinga played?
- Kayanza United vs Muzinga is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.