Royal Vision vs Rukinzo: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Urunani, Buganda
The Footlab model makes Rukinzo the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Royal Vision. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Royal Vision vs Rukinzo?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Royal Vision (1,542) and Rukinzo (1,618).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Royal Vision have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Rukinzo have 7, 7 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olympic Star(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Musongati(home) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Vital'O(home) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Aigle Noir(home) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi(away) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Musongati(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Panthere Noir(home) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(home) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Bumamuru(away) | 4-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ngozi City(home) | 4-2 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Royal Vision win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Rukinzo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Royal Vision 1-3 Rukinzo | Ligue A |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Rukinzo 1-2 Royal Vision | Ligue A |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Royal Vision 2-1 Rukinzo | Ligue A |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Rukinzo 0-0 Royal Vision | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Royal Vision vs Rukinzo on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Royal Vision score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Rukinzo score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royal Vision | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Rukinzo | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Royal Vision sit 5th in Ligue A (4 points from 2 matches) and Rukinzo sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rukinzo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Royal Vision | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Royal Vision vs Rukinzo?
- The Footlab model makes Rukinzo the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Royal Vision.
- Where and when is Royal Vision vs Rukinzo played?
- Royal Vision vs Rukinzo is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Urunani, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.