Ngozi City vs Never Give Up Academy: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Urukundo, Mwumba
The Footlab model makes Ngozi City the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Never Give Up Academy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ngozi City vs Never Give Up Academy?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Ngozi City (1,431) and Never Give Up Academy (1,501).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ngozi City have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Never Give Up Academy have 1, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vital'O(away) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Young Star(home) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Olympic Star(away) | 0-4 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Musongati(home) | 2-4 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Rukinzo(away) | 2-4 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Inter Star(away) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Muzinga(away) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
How many goals should we expect?
Ngozi City score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Never Give Up Academy score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ngozi City | 1.6 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Never Give Up Academy | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1/2 | 1/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ngozi City sit 6th in Ligue A (3 points from 2 matches) and Never Give Up Academy sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ngozi City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Never Give Up Academy | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ngozi City vs Never Give Up Academy?
- The Footlab model makes Ngozi City the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Never Give Up Academy.
- Where and when is Ngozi City vs Never Give Up Academy played?
- Ngozi City vs Never Give Up Academy is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Urukundo, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.