Match

Flaminia vs Sasso Marconi Zola: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 3Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Turiddu Madami, Civita Castellana

FlaminiaSasso Marconi Zola

The Footlab model makes Flaminia the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Sasso Marconi Zola. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Flaminia vs Sasso Marconi Zola?

Flaminia starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,755 vs 1,641).

Flaminia win52 %
Draw27 %
Sasso Marconi Zola win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flaminia have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Sasso Marconi Zola have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Flaminia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 26, 2026Lazio(away)0-6Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Monastir(away)3-3Serie D - Girone G
May 3, 2026Montespaccato(away)4-2Serie D - Girone G
Apr 26, 2026Budoni(home)0-1Serie D - Girone G
Apr 19, 2026Nocerina(away)1-1Serie D - Girone G
Sasso Marconi Zola
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Imolese(away)2-0Serie D - Girone D
May 3, 2026Progresso(away)1-4Serie D - Girone D
Apr 26, 2026Imolese(home)1-1Serie D - Girone D
Apr 19, 2026Rovato Vertovese(home)2-1Serie D - Girone D
Apr 12, 2026Desenzano Calvina(away)0-1Serie D - Girone D

How many goals should we expect?

Flaminia score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sasso Marconi Zola score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Flaminia1.61.449/157/15
Sasso Marconi Zola0.91.438/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Flaminia vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
The Footlab model makes Flaminia the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Sasso Marconi Zola.
Where and when is Flaminia vs Sasso Marconi Zola played?
Flaminia vs Sasso Marconi Zola is played on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Turiddu Madami, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Flaminia and Sasso Marconi Zola

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