Lucchese vs Progresso: result 5-0 and analysis
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 3Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Porta Elisa, Lucca
Full time
What was the result of Lucchese vs Progresso?
Lucchese won 5-0 on September 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 3′D. LorussoLucchese
- 25′D. LorussoLucchese
- 48′F. DionisiLucchese
- 57′552299Lucchese (pen.)
- 87′L. LombardiLucchese
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Lucchese win at 59%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 5-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lucchese have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Progresso have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Seravezza(away) | 0-5 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 17, 2025 | Sestri Levante(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2025 | Sestri Levante(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Torres(home) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Scandicci(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lentigione(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Lucchese score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Progresso score 1.2 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucchese | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Progresso | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lucchese sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone E (13 points from 6 matches) and Progresso sit 16th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lucchese | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 13 |
| 16 | Progresso | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 3 |
A question about Lucchese vs Progresso?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 16, 2026Prato1-1Grassina
- Sep 16, 2026Gavorrano1-0Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
- Sep 16, 2026Seravezza1-1Montevarchi Calcio
- Sep 16, 2026Mezzolara2-1Ternana
- Sep 16, 2026Flaminia2-2Sasso Marconi Zola
- Sep 16, 2026Scandicci3-0Rondinella
- Sep 16, 2026Tau Altopascio3-2Robur Siena
- Sep 16, 2026Terranuova Traiana1-1San Donato Tavarnelle