Where and when is Seravezza vs Montevarchi Calcio played?

Seravezza vs Montevarchi Calcio is played on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Buon Riposo, in the Serie D - Girone E.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Seravezza vs Montevarchi Calcio: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 3Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Buon Riposo, Pozzi Seravezza

Seravezza

Montevarchi Calcio

The Footlab model makes Seravezza the favourite at 48%, against 33% for a draw and 20% for Montevarchi Calcio. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Seravezza vs Montevarchi Calcio?

A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Seravezza (1,779) and Montevarchi Calcio (1,693).

Seravezza win48 %

Draw33 %

Montevarchi Calcio win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Seravezza have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Montevarchi Calcio have 5, 9 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Seravezza
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Pistoiese(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026	Prato(away)	2-1	Serie D - Girone E
May 10, 2026	Tau Altopascio(away)	2-0	Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026	San Donato Tavarnelle(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Foligno Calcio(home)	0-0	Serie D - Girone E

Montevarchi Calcio
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Figline(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Prato(away)	0-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026	Robur Siena(away)	0-0	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026	Terranuova Traiana(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone E

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Seravezza win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Montevarchi Calcio win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 25, 2026	Seravezza 1-1 Montevarchi Calcio	Serie D - Girone E
Sep 24, 2025	Montevarchi Calcio 3-2 Seravezza	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 9, 2025	Montevarchi Calcio 0-0 Seravezza	Serie D - Girone E
Oct 13, 2024	Seravezza 2-1 Montevarchi Calcio	Serie D - Girone E
Jan 7, 2024	Seravezza 1-0 Montevarchi Calcio	Serie D - Girone E
Sep 10, 2023	Montevarchi Calcio 0-2 Seravezza	Serie D - Girone E

Last archived meeting: Seravezza vs Montevarchi Calcio on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Seravezza score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Montevarchi Calcio score 0.7 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Seravezza	1.1	0.9	5	8/15	4/15
Montevarchi Calcio	0.7	0.3	10	4/15	0/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Seravezza sit 5th in Serie D - Girone E (57 points from 34 matches) and Montevarchi Calcio sit 9th (46 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Seravezza	34	15	12	7	42	29	57
9	Montevarchi Calcio	34	10	16	8	28	32	46

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Seravezza vs Montevarchi Calcio?: The Footlab model makes Seravezza the favourite at 48%, against 33% for a draw and 20% for Montevarchi Calcio.
Where and when is Seravezza vs Montevarchi Calcio played?: Seravezza vs Montevarchi Calcio is played on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Buon Riposo, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.