Where and when is Prato vs Grassina played?

Prato vs Grassina is played on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Lungobisenzio, in the Serie D - Girone E.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Prato vs Grassina: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 3Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Lungobisenzio, Prato

Prato

Grassina

The Footlab model makes Prato the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Grassina. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Prato vs Grassina?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Prato (1,787) and Grassina (1,760).

Prato win54 %

Draw26 %

Grassina win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Prato have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Grassina have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Prato
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Seravezza(home)	1-2	Serie D - Girone E
May 10, 2026	Robur Siena(home)	3-1	Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026	Montevarchi Calcio(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Sporting Trestina(away)	2-0	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026	Grosseto(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone E

Grassina
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 1, 2020	Aglianese(away)	3-3	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 23, 2020	Gavorrano(away)	0-2	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 16, 2020	Flaminia(home)	2-0	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 9, 2020	Cannara(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 2, 2020	Scandicci(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone E

How many goals should we expect?

Prato score 1.6 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Grassina score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Prato	1.6	0.6	10	5/15	6/15
Grassina	1.5	1.1	5	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Prato	34	20	5	9	49	29	63

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Prato vs Grassina?: The Footlab model makes Prato the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Grassina.
Where and when is Prato vs Grassina played?: Prato vs Grassina is played on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Lungobisenzio, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.