Match

Flaminia vs Ternana: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Turiddu Madami, Civita Castellana

FlaminiaTernana

The Footlab model makes Ternana the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Flaminia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Flaminia vs Ternana?

Ternana starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,860 vs 1,755).

Flaminia win34 %
Draw30 %
Ternana win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flaminia have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ternana have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Flaminia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 26, 2026Lazio(away)0-6Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Monastir(away)3-3Serie D - Girone G
May 3, 2026Montespaccato(away)4-2Serie D - Girone G
Apr 26, 2026Budoni(home)0-1Serie D - Girone G
Apr 19, 2026Nocerina(away)1-1Serie D - Girone G
Ternana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Pianese(away)1-1Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Apr 26, 2026Pianese(home)1-3Serie C - Girone B
Apr 18, 2026Bra(away)2-1Serie C - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Perugia(home)2-2Serie C - Girone B
Apr 8, 2026Juventus U23(away)1-2Serie C - Girone B

How many goals should we expect?

Flaminia score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ternana score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Flaminia1.61.449/157/15
Ternana1.51.4211/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Flaminia vs Ternana?
The Footlab model makes Ternana the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Flaminia.
Where and when is Flaminia vs Ternana played?
Flaminia vs Ternana is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Turiddu Madami, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Flaminia and Ternana

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