Prato vs Robur Siena: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Lungobisenzio, Prato
The Footlab model makes Prato the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Robur Siena. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Prato vs Robur Siena?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Prato (1,787) and Robur Siena (1,754).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Prato have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Robur Siena have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 10, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Grosseto(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Scandicci(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Prato(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 4-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Camaiore(away) | 5-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Prato win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Robur Siena win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Prato 3-1 Robur Siena | Serie D - Girone E |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Prato 3-3 Robur Siena | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Robur Siena 0-0 Prato | Serie D - Girone E |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Robur Siena 1-0 Prato | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 27, 2017 | Prato 1-0 Robur Siena | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 12, 2017 | Robur Siena 2-1 Prato | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Prato score 1.6 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Robur Siena score 2.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prato | 1.6 | 0.6 | 10 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Robur Siena | 2.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Prato sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone E (63 points from 34 matches) and Robur Siena sit 4th (60 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 29 | 63 |
| 4 | Robur Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57 | 35 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Prato vs Robur Siena?
- The Footlab model makes Prato the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Robur Siena.
- Where and when is Prato vs Robur Siena played?
- Prato vs Robur Siena is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Lungobisenzio, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026GavorranovsRondinella
- Dec 13, 2026MezzolaravsProgresso
- Dec 13, 2026Sasso Marconi ZolavsSeravezza
- Dec 13, 2026FlaminiavsTernana
- Dec 13, 2026San Donato TavarnellevsGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano
- Dec 13, 2026ScandiccivsMontevarchi Calcio
- Dec 13, 2026Tau AltopasciovsLucchese
- Dec 13, 2026Terranuova TraianavsGrassina