Mezzolara vs Progresso: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Pietro Zucchini, Budrio
The Footlab AI model makes Mezzolara the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Progresso. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,937 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mezzolara vs Progresso?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Mezzolara (1,616) and Progresso (1,652).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mezzolara vs Progresso
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mezzolara
Not enough data to predict the Mezzolara lineup.
Progresso
Not enough data to predict the Progresso lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 08:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mezzolara have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Progresso have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Flaminia(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Grassina(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Grassina(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rondinella(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Mezzolara wins, 2 draws, 1 Progresso win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2024 | Mezzolara 1-2 Progresso | Serie D - Girone D |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Progresso 2-2 Mezzolara | Serie D - Girone D |
| Feb 2, 2022 | Mezzolara 1-0 Progresso | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Progresso 0-1 Mezzolara | Serie D - Girone D |
| Dec 1, 2019 | Mezzolara 0-0 Progresso | Serie D - Girone D |
Last archived meeting: Mezzolara vs Progresso on May 5, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Mezzolara score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Progresso score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mezzolara | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Progresso | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mezzolara sit 14th in Serie D - Girone E (8 points from 7 matches) and Progresso sit 17th (3 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mezzolara | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| 17 | Progresso | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 3 |
A question about Mezzolara vs Progresso?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mezzolara vs Progresso?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mezzolara the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Progresso.
- Where and when is Mezzolara vs Progresso played?
- Mezzolara vs Progresso is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pietro Zucchini, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026PratovsRobur Siena
- Dec 13, 2026GavorranovsRondinella
- Dec 13, 2026Sasso Marconi ZolavsSeravezza
- Dec 13, 2026FlaminiavsTernana
- Dec 13, 2026San Donato TavarnellevsGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano
- Dec 13, 2026ScandiccivsMontevarchi Calcio
- Dec 13, 2026Tau AltopasciovsLucchese
- Dec 13, 2026Terranuova TraianavsGrassina