Terranuova Traiana vs Grassina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Mario Matteini, Terranuova Bracciolini
The Footlab model makes Terranuova Traiana the favourite at 39%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Grassina. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Terranuova Traiana vs Grassina?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Terranuova Traiana (1,680) and Grassina (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Terranuova Traiana have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Grassina have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Orvietana Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Camaiore(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2020 | Aglianese(away) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Gavorrano(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Flaminia(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Cannara(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Feb 2, 2020 | Scandicci(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
How many goals should we expect?
Terranuova Traiana score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Grassina score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terranuova Traiana | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Grassina | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 30 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Terranuova Traiana vs Grassina?
- The Footlab model makes Terranuova Traiana the favourite at 39%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Grassina.
- Where and when is Terranuova Traiana vs Grassina played?
- Terranuova Traiana vs Grassina is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Mario Matteini, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026PratovsRobur Siena
- Dec 13, 2026GavorranovsRondinella
- Dec 13, 2026MezzolaravsProgresso
- Dec 13, 2026Sasso Marconi ZolavsSeravezza
- Dec 13, 2026FlaminiavsTernana
- Dec 13, 2026San Donato TavarnellevsGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano
- Dec 13, 2026ScandiccivsMontevarchi Calcio
- Dec 13, 2026Tau AltopasciovsLucchese