Ternana vs Terranuova Traiana: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E · Matchday 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni
The Footlab AI model makes Ternana the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Terranuova Traiana. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,672 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ternana vs Terranuova Traiana?
Ternana starts as the favourite with a 193-point Elo edge (1,915 vs 1,722).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ternana vs Terranuova Traiana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ternana
Not enough data to predict the Ternana lineup.
Terranuova Traiana
Not enough data to predict the Terranuova Traiana lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 10:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ternana have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Terranuova Traiana have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Rondinella(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Prato(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Progresso(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Recanatese(home) | 5-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Lucchese(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mezzolara(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Scandicci(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gavorrano(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
How many goals should we expect?
Ternana score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Terranuova Traiana score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ternana | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Terranuova Traiana | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ternana sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone E (21 points from 11 matches) and Terranuova Traiana sit 7th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ternana | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
| 7 | Terranuova Traiana | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 17 |
A question about Ternana vs Terranuova Traiana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ternana vs Terranuova Traiana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ternana the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Terranuova Traiana.
- Where and when is Ternana vs Terranuova Traiana played?
- Ternana vs Terranuova Traiana is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Libero Liberati, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026LucchesevsScandicci
- Dec 20, 2026Robur SienavsGavorrano
- Dec 20, 2026Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanovsSasso Marconi Zola
- Dec 20, 2026SeravezzavsTau Altopascio
- Dec 20, 2026GrassinavsSan Donato Tavarnelle
- Dec 20, 2026Montevarchi CalciovsMezzolara
- Dec 20, 2026ProgressovsPrato
- Dec 20, 2026RondinellavsFlaminia