Scandicci vs Montevarchi Calcio: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Turri, Firenze
The Footlab model makes Scandicci the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 25% for Montevarchi Calcio. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Scandicci vs Montevarchi Calcio?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Scandicci (1,696) and Montevarchi Calcio (1,693).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Scandicci have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Montevarchi Calcio have 5, 9 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Poggibonsi(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gavorrano(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Cannara(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Orvietana Calcio(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Figline(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Prato(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Scandicci win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Montevarchi Calcio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Scandicci 1-1 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Montevarchi Calcio 0-0 Scandicci | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Montevarchi Calcio 2-1 Scandicci | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Scandicci vs Montevarchi Calcio on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Scandicci score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Montevarchi Calcio score 0.7 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scandicci | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 3/15 |
| Montevarchi Calcio | 0.7 | 0.3 | 10 | 4/15 | 0/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Scandicci sit 8th in Serie D - Girone E (48 points from 34 matches) and Montevarchi Calcio sit 9th (46 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39 | 32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi Calcio | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Scandicci vs Montevarchi Calcio?
- The Footlab model makes Scandicci the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 25% for Montevarchi Calcio.
- Where and when is Scandicci vs Montevarchi Calcio played?
- Scandicci vs Montevarchi Calcio is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Turri, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026PratovsRobur Siena
- Dec 13, 2026GavorranovsRondinella
- Dec 13, 2026MezzolaravsProgresso
- Dec 13, 2026Sasso Marconi ZolavsSeravezza
- Dec 13, 2026FlaminiavsTernana
- Dec 13, 2026San Donato TavarnellevsGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano
- Dec 13, 2026Tau AltopasciovsLucchese
- Dec 13, 2026Terranuova TraianavsGrassina