Scandicci vs Montevarchi Calcio: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Turri, Firenze
The Footlab AI model makes Scandicci the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Montevarchi Calcio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Scandicci wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Scandicci vs Montevarchi Calcio?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Scandicci (1,731) and Montevarchi Calcio (1,718).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Scandicci vs Montevarchi Calcio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Scandicci
Not enough data to predict the Scandicci lineup.
Montevarchi Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Montevarchi Calcio lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Scandicci have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Montevarchi Calcio have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ternana(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Grassina(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rondinella(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ternana(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Progresso(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Scandicci wins, 2 draws, 1 Montevarchi Calcio win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Scandicci 1-1 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Montevarchi Calcio 0-0 Scandicci | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Montevarchi Calcio 2-1 Scandicci | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Scandicci vs Montevarchi Calcio on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Scandicci score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Montevarchi Calcio score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scandicci | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Montevarchi Calcio | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Scandicci sit 7th in Serie D - Girone E (12 points from 7 matches) and Montevarchi Calcio sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Scandicci | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Montevarchi Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 10 |
A question about Scandicci vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Scandicci vs Montevarchi Calcio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Scandicci the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Montevarchi Calcio.
- Where and when is Scandicci vs Montevarchi Calcio played?
- Scandicci vs Montevarchi Calcio is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Turri, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026PratovsRobur Siena
- Dec 13, 2026GavorranovsRondinella
- Dec 13, 2026MezzolaravsProgresso
- Dec 13, 2026Sasso Marconi ZolavsSeravezza
- Dec 13, 2026FlaminiavsTernana
- Dec 13, 2026San Donato TavarnellevsGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano
- Dec 13, 2026Tau AltopasciovsLucchese
- Dec 13, 2026Terranuova TraianavsGrassina