Fleetwood Town vs Exeter City: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Fleetwood Town the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Exeter City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fleetwood Town wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Exeter City?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Fleetwood Town (1,748) and Exeter City (1,758).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fleetwood Town vs Exeter City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fleetwood Town
3-1-4-2- 19R. Coughlan
- 20A. Loupalo-Bi
- 10M. Helm
- 4H. Neal
- 24Jake Thomas Batty
- 14L. McCann
- 15A. Murphy
- 26S. Rooney
- 5F. Potter
- 6R. Bennett
- 1J. Lynch
Exeter City
4-2-3-1- 19S. Cox
- 16C. Cummins
- 8T. Perry
- 20George Birch
- 25A. Scully
- 14H. Kite
- 5J. Fitzwater
- 3L. Woodhouse
- 2L. Samuel
- 6J. Taylor
- 1J. Bycroft
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 05:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fleetwood Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Exeter City have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Colchester(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fleetwood Town win, 2 draws, 3 Exeter City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Exeter City 2-1 Fleetwood Town | League Two |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Exeter City 1-1 Fleetwood Town | League One |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Fleetwood Town 3-0 Exeter City | League One |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Fleetwood Town 2-2 Exeter City | League One |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Exeter City 2-1 Fleetwood Town | League One |
| Mar 22, 2014 | Exeter City 3-0 Fleetwood Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town on Oct 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fleetwood Town score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Exeter City score 1.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood Town | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Exeter City | 1.0 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fleetwood Town sit 16th in League Two (17 points from 14 matches) and Exeter City sit 12th (19 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 19 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
A question about Fleetwood Town vs Exeter City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fleetwood Town vs Exeter City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fleetwood Town the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Exeter City.
- Where and when is Fleetwood Town vs Exeter City played?
- Fleetwood Town vs Exeter City is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Highbury Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.