Accrington ST vs Rochdale: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Wham Stadium, Accrington, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Accrington ST. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rochdale wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,861 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Rochdale?
Rochdale starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,896 vs 1,763).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Accrington ST vs Rochdale
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Accrington ST
3-4-1-2- 23T. Walton
- 30C. Warren
- 33D. Tutonda
- 38C. O'Brien
- 2D. Love
- 14Stefan Mols
- 39J. Woods
- 22J. Anderson
- 17D. Matthews
- 28S. Conneely
- 1L. Moulden
Rochdale
4-2-3-1- 39D. Brown
- 17B. Adeeko
- 8H. Gilmour
- 45G. Middleton
- 21Kane Taylor
- 7C. Hayes
- 3Kaiden Wilson
- 2C. Tasker
- 44A. Flint
- 13O. Adebayo-Rowling
- 20Sam William John Waller
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 02:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Accrington ST have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Rochdale have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 0-5 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Accrington ST win, 1 draw, 4 Rochdale wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2022 | Accrington ST 3-3 Rochdale | EFL Trophy |
| Apr 17, 2021 | Rochdale 3-1 Accrington ST | League One |
| Oct 10, 2020 | Accrington ST 2-1 Rochdale | League One |
| Jan 1, 2020 | Accrington ST 1-2 Rochdale | League One |
| Oct 12, 2019 | Rochdale 2-1 Accrington ST | League One |
| Apr 9, 2019 | Accrington ST 0-1 Rochdale | League One |
Last archived meeting: Accrington ST vs Rochdale on Aug 30, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Accrington ST score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Rochdale score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accrington ST | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Rochdale | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Accrington ST sit 10th in League Two (14 points from 11 matches) and Rochdale sit 13th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Accrington ST | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
| 13 | Rochdale | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Accrington ST vs Rochdale?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Accrington ST vs Rochdale?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Accrington ST.
- Where and when is Accrington ST vs Rochdale played?
- Accrington ST vs Rochdale is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Wham Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.