Exeter City vs Salford City: prediction and stats
League TwoMatchday 28Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St James Park, Exeter, Devon
The Footlab AI model makes Salford City the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Exeter City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Salford City wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,780 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Exeter City vs Salford City?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Exeter City (1,720) and Salford City (1,782).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Exeter City vs Salford City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Exeter City
4-2-3-1- 19S. Cox
- 16C. Cummins
- 20George Birch
- 8T. Perry
- 25A. Scully
- 14H. Kite
- 3L. Woodhouse
- 2L. Samuel
- 6J. Taylor
- 5J. Fitzwater
- 1J. Bycroft
Salford City
3-4-2-1- 9M. Langstaff
- 16E. Bonds
- 43L. Molyneux
- 44B. Sarpong-Wiredu
- 14A. Odoh
- 29L. Garbutt
- 7B. Woodburn
- 17D. Scarr
- 24T. Allen
- 4W. Aimson
- 1W. Norris
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 12:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Exeter City have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Salford City have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Colchester(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Carlisle(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Crawley Town(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Exeter City wins, 2 draws, 1 Salford City win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Salford City 2-1 Exeter City | League Two |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Exeter City 0-0 Salford City | League Two |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Salford City 1-2 Exeter City | League Two |
| Mar 27, 2021 | Exeter City 1-0 Salford City | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Salford City 2-2 Exeter City | League Two |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Salford City 0-1 Exeter City | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Salford City vs Exeter City on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Exeter City score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Salford City score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exeter City | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Salford City | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Exeter City sit 12th in League Two (19 points from 14 matches) and Salford City sit 1st (31 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 31 |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 19 |
A question about Exeter City vs Salford City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Exeter City vs Salford City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Salford City the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Exeter City.
- Where and when is Exeter City vs Salford City played?
- Exeter City vs Salford City is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at St James Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.