Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The County Ground, Swindon, Wiltshire
The Footlab AI model makes Swindon Town the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Bristol Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Swindon Town wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Swindon Town (1,784) and Bristol Rovers (1,774).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Swindon Town
4-3-3- 23A. Drinan
- 34B. Kirkman
- 29A. Hackford
- 25J. Thomson
- 27A. Munda
- 8O. Clarke
- 5S. Negru
- 2M. Clark
- 21K. Majekodunmi
- 16S. Inwood
- 1C. Ripley
Bristol Rovers
4-2-3-1- 29F. Cavegn
- 6C. Mola
- 7S. Forde
- 22Keenan Gough
- 19E. Harrison
- 3J. Sparkes
- 2T. James
- 4K. Balmer
- 17C. Kelly
- 5A. Kilgour
- 1Brad Young
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 12:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swindon Town have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Bristol Rovers have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Swindon Town wins, 2 draws, 1 Bristol Rovers win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Swindon Town 1-1 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Bristol Rovers 0-3 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Oct 8, 2024 | Swindon Town 4-0 Bristol Rovers | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 18, 2022 | Bristol Rovers 3-0 Swindon Town | EFL Trophy |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Swindon Town 1-1 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Bristol Rovers 1-3 Swindon Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Swindon Town score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol Rovers score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon Town | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Bristol Rovers | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swindon Town sit 18th in League Two (12 points from 11 matches) and Bristol Rovers sit 9th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 15 |
| 18 | Swindon Town | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 12 |
A question about Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Swindon Town the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Bristol Rovers.
- Where and when is Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers played?
- Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The County Ground, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.