Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town: prediction and stats
League TwoMatchday 28Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Memorial Stadium, Bristol, Gloucestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Bristol Rovers the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Fleetwood Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bristol Rovers wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,780 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Bristol Rovers (1,643) and Fleetwood Town (1,680).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bristol Rovers
4-2-3-1- 29F. Cavegn
- 6C. Mola
- 21R. Smallwood
- 7S. Forde
- 22Keenan Gough
- 28A. Appiah
- 17C. Kelly
- 2T. James
- 3J. Sparkes
- 5A. Kilgour
- 1Brad Young
Fleetwood Town
3-1-4-2- 19R. Coughlan
- 20A. Loupalo-Bi
- 4H. Neal
- 24Jake Thomas Batty
- 14L. McCann
- 10M. Helm
- 15A. Murphy
- 5F. Potter
- 6R. Bennett
- 26S. Rooney
- 1J. Lynch
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 12:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bristol Rovers have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Fleetwood Town have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Reading(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 6, 2026 | Cambridge United(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 2-4 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bristol Rovers wins, 1 draw, 3 Fleetwood Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Fleetwood Town 3-1 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Bristol Rovers 1-0 Fleetwood Town | League Two |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Fleetwood Town 2-1 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Fleetwood Town 0-0 Bristol Rovers | League One |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Bristol Rovers 0-2 Fleetwood Town | League One |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Fleetwood Town 1-2 Bristol Rovers | League One |
Last archived meeting: Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bristol Rovers score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fleetwood Town score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers | 1.0 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Fleetwood Town | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bristol Rovers sit 17th in League Two (16 points from 14 matches) and Fleetwood Town sit 16th (17 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
A question about Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bristol Rovers the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Fleetwood Town.
- Where and when is Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town played?
- Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Memorial Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.