Rochdale vs York: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Crown Oil Arena, Rochdale, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes York the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Rochdale. The most likely score is 1-1. If York wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,606 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rochdale vs York?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Rochdale (1,908) and York (1,971).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rochdale vs York
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rochdale
4-2-3-1- 39D. Brown
- 17B. Adeeko
- 8H. Gilmour
- 45G. Middleton
- 21Kane Taylor
- 7C. Hayes
- 3Kaiden Wilson
- 2C. Tasker
- 44A. Flint
- 13O. Adebayo-Rowling
- 20Sam William John Waller
York
3-4-2-1- 10O. Pearce
- 28O. Banks
- 8A. Hunt
- 7J. Grey
- 12H. Boyes
- 23J. Felix
- 30A. Newby
- 2R. Fallowfield
- 3M. Kitching
- 5Z. Johnson
- 1Alfie Shane McNally
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rochdale have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; York have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 0-5 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Rochdale wins, 2 draws, 4 York wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Rochdale 1-1 York | National League |
| Nov 11, 2025 | York 4-1 Rochdale | National League |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Rochdale 1-2 York | FA Cup |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Rochdale 0-4 York | National League |
| Aug 20, 2024 | York 1-0 Rochdale | National League |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Rochdale 0-0 York | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Rochdale score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; York score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| York | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rochdale sit 13th in League Two (14 points from 11 matches) and York sit 4th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | York | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 16 |
| 13 | Rochdale | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Rochdale vs York?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rochdale vs York?
- The Footlab AI model makes York the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Rochdale.
- Where and when is Rochdale vs York played?
- Rochdale vs York is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Crown Oil Arena, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.