Birkirkara vs Floriana: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola
The Footlab AI model makes Floriana the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Birkirkara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Floriana wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Birkirkara vs Floriana?
Floriana starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (1,679 vs 1,507).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Birkirkara vs Floriana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Birkirkara
4-3-3- 99Amarildo
- 28S. Brewer
- 27F. Sasere
- 30Pablo
- 8Rafa Santos
- 10J. Busuttil
- 3Frazan
- 22Z. Muscat
- 77A. Garzia
- 97Kadu
- 1F. Ondoa
Floriana
4-3-3- 22T. Gudelj
- 9K. Dervisagic
- 90S. Odey
- 16Chapi
- 10F. Varela
- 12D. Vella
- 21C. Zammit Lonardelli
- 17O. Spiteri
- 3M. Beerman
- 6A. Drina
- 23G. Cioletti
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Birkirkara have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Floriana have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Valletta FC(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Zabbar St. Patrick(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Hibernians(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sliema Wanderers(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Mosta(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Balzan FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Hibernians(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(home) | 2-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Valletta FC(home) | 0-2 | Super Cup |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Gzira United(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Birkirkara wins, 2 draws, 2 Floriana wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Birkirkara 2-2 Floriana | Premier League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Floriana 2-0 Birkirkara | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Floriana 2-0 Birkirkara | Premier League |
| May 14, 2025 | Birkirkara 2-1 Floriana | FA Trophy |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Birkirkara 1-1 Floriana | Premier League |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Floriana 0-2 Birkirkara | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Birkirkara vs Floriana on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Birkirkara score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Floriana score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birkirkara | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Floriana | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Birkirkara sit 8th in Premier League (10 points from 7 matches) and Floriana sit 2nd (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Floriana | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 14 |
| 8 | Birkirkara | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
A question about Birkirkara vs Floriana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Birkirkara vs Floriana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Floriana the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Birkirkara.
- Where and when is Birkirkara vs Floriana played?
- Birkirkara vs Floriana is played on October 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tony Bezzina Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.