Forest Green vs Gateshead: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Bolt New Lawn, Nailsworth, Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Forest Green the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Gateshead. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Forest Green vs Gateshead?
Forest Green starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,854 vs 1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forest Green have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Gateshead have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 0-3 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(home) | 3-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yeovil Town(away) | 0-3 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 1-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Woking(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Forest Green win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Gateshead win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Gateshead 0-2 Forest Green | National League |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Forest Green 3-1 Gateshead | National League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Forest Green 2-3 Gateshead | National League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Gateshead 0-2 Forest Green | National League |
| Feb 18, 2017 | Gateshead 3-1 Forest Green | National League |
| Aug 13, 2016 | Forest Green 1-0 Gateshead | National League |
Last archived meeting: Gateshead vs Forest Green on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Forest Green score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gateshead score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Green | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Gateshead | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Forest Green sit 10th in National League (6 points from 3 matches) and Gateshead sit 17th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Forest Green | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 17 | Gateshead | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Forest Green vs Gateshead?
- The Footlab model makes Forest Green the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Gateshead.
- Where and when is Forest Green vs Gateshead played?
- Forest Green vs Gateshead is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Bolt New Lawn, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.