Fortis vs Regar-TadAZ: prediction and stats
AFC Challenge LeagueGroup StageKick-off on October 23, 2026 at 01:25 PM (UTC)Bashundhara Kings Arena, Dhaka
The Footlab AI model makes Fortis the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Regar-TadAZ. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fortis wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,900 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortis vs Regar-TadAZ?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Fortis (1,486) and Regar-TadAZ (1,512).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fortis vs Regar-TadAZ
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fortis
4-3-3- 10P. Babou
- 19M. Ibrahim
- 9S. Chukwude
- 8A. K. Ghazi A.
- 13A. Fahad
- 6M. Mona
- 2R. Hossain
- 3M. Mithu Chowdhury
- 23M. Alam
- 4E. Jallow
- 1Weerasinghe Sinnath Thommelage Don Sujan Perera
Regar-TadAZ
4-3-3- 88S. Mabatshoev
- 9E. Frimpong
- 90A. Ergashev
- 6D. Atsam
- 66A. Temirov
- 47S. Mahamadiev
- 27D. Imomnazarov
- 44J. Feumba
- 4B. Qalandarov
- 5O. Kassim
- 16A. Z. Rahmatov
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 01:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortis have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Regar-TadAZ have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Goa(home) | 1-2 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al Qadsia(away) | 0-3 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Brothers Union(away) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | City Club(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Fakirerpool(home) | 1-1 | Federation Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Al Qadsia(home) | 0-1 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Goa(away) | 2-1 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barki Tajik(home) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Khatlon(away) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Khujand(home) | 0-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Fortis score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Regar-TadAZ score 1.6 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortis | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Regar-TadAZ | 1.6 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Fortis vs Regar-TadAZ?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortis vs Regar-TadAZ?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fortis the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Regar-TadAZ.
- Where and when is Fortis vs Regar-TadAZ played?
- Fortis vs Regar-TadAZ is played on October 23, 2026 at 01:25 PM (UTC) at Bashundhara Kings Arena, in the AFC Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.