Match

Fountain Gate vs Geita Gold: prediction and stats

Ligi kuu BaraMatchday 16Kick-off on December 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Liti Stadium, Singida

Fountain GateGeita Gold

The Footlab AI model makes Fountain Gate the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Geita Gold. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fountain Gate wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,941 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fountain Gate vs Geita Gold?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Fountain Gate (1,506) and Geita Gold (1,503).

41%29%30%
Fountain Gate winDrawGeita Gold win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Fountain Gate vs Geita Gold

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Fountain Gate

4-3-3
  1. 22S. Said
  2. 78A. Athuman
  3. 53Hashimu Kindemile
  1. 9C. Obasi
  2. 60S. Mgunda
  3. 33P. Shaban
  1. 15D. Mukombozi
  2. 6O. Awara
  3. 19A. Mtambi
  4. 33S. Hassan
  1. 28M. Kilusomo

Geita Gold

4-3-3
  1. 33M. I. Kassim
  2. 39F. Ngoye
  3. 68R. Mohamed
  1. 31Yusufu Valentine Mhilu
  2. 13A. Yassin
  3. 23N. Kaboma
  1. 14C. Tebandeke
  2. 20T. Muhenga
  3. 3P. Datius
  4. 45S. Athuman
  1. 50E. Mwakyusa

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:14 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fountain Gate have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Geita Gold have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fountain Gate
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 2, 2026Tabora United(away)2-3Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 29, 2026Simba(home)0-1Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 26, 2026Geita Gold(away)1-1Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 16, 2026Pamba Jiji(home)1-1Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 9, 2026JKT Tanzania(home)1-2Ligi kuu Bara
Geita Gold
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Polisi Tanzania(away)0-1Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 29, 2026Tabora United(away)1-1Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 26, 2026Fountain Gate(home)1-1Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 16, 2026Dodoma Jiji(home)0-3Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 8, 2026Pamba Jiji(away)0-4Ligi kuu Bara

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Fountain Gate wins, 2 draws, 1 Geita Gold win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 26, 2026Geita Gold 1-1 Fountain GateLigi kuu Bara
May 25, 2024Fountain Gate 2-1 Geita GoldLigi kuu Bara
Dec 21, 2023Geita Gold 1-0 Fountain GateLigi kuu Bara
Dec 30, 2022Fountain Gate 2-1 Geita GoldLigi kuu Bara
Sep 21, 2022Geita Gold 1-1 Fountain GateLigi kuu Bara

Last archived meeting: Geita Gold vs Fountain Gate on Oct 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fountain Gate score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Geita Gold score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fountain Gate0.71.526/154/15
Geita Gold0.91.726/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fountain Gate sit 15th in Ligi kuu Bara (6 points from 11 matches) and Geita Gold sit 13th (9 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Geita Gold1123611189
15Fountain Gate111377176

A question about Fountain Gate vs Geita Gold?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fountain Gate vs Geita Gold?
The Footlab AI model makes Fountain Gate the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Geita Gold.
Where and when is Fountain Gate vs Geita Gold played?
Fountain Gate vs Geita Gold is played on December 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Liti Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Fountain Gate and Geita Gold