Azam vs Young Africans: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Azam Complex Stadium, Mbagala
The Footlab model makes Young Africans the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Azam. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Azam vs Young Africans?
Young Africans starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,971 vs 1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Azam have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Young Africans have 13, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 4-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Coastal Union(home) | 4-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Azam win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Young Africans win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2026 | Young Africans 3-0 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Azam 0-0 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 10, 2025 | Azam 1-2 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Young Africans 0-1 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Azam 2-1 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 23, 2023 | Young Africans 3-2 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Young Africans vs Azam on Jun 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Azam score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Young Africans score 2.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azam | 1.9 | 0.7 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Young Africans | 2.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Azam sit 3rd in Ligi kuu Bara (7 points from 3 matches) and Young Africans sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Azam | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Azam vs Young Africans?
- The Footlab model makes Young Africans the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Azam.
- Where and when is Azam vs Young Africans played?
- Azam vs Young Africans is played on December 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Azam Complex Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.