Match

Devnya 2005 vs Aksakovo: prediction and stats

Third League - NortheastNortheast - 14Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)

Devnya 2005Aksakovo

The Footlab model makes Devnya 2005 the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Aksakovo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Devnya 2005 vs Aksakovo?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Devnya 2005 (1,467) and Aksakovo (1,376).

Devnya 2005 win56 %
Draw22 %
Aksakovo win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 1 matches in all competitions, Devnya 2005 have 1 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Aksakovo have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Devnya 2005
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Riltzi(home)1-0Third League - Northeast
Aksakovo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Septemvri Dragoevo(away)2-4Third League - Northeast
May 30, 2026Chernomorets Balchik(away)0-3Third League - Northeast
May 24, 2026Fratria II(home)3-1Third League - Northeast
May 16, 2026Riltzi(away)1-1Third League - Northeast
May 13, 2026Benkovski Isperih(home)0-1Third League - Northeast

How many goals should we expect?

Devnya 2005 score 1.0 and concede 0.0 goals per match over their last 1; Aksakovo score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Devnya 20051.00.010/10/1
Aksakovo1.52.129/1511/15

Over the last 1 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Devnya 2005 sit 6th in Third League - Northeast (3 points from 1 matches) and Aksakovo sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Devnya 20051100103
14Aksakovo1001240

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Devnya 2005 vs Aksakovo?
The Footlab model makes Devnya 2005 the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Aksakovo.
Where and when is Devnya 2005 vs Aksakovo played?
Devnya 2005 vs Aksakovo is played on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Third League - Northeast.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Devnya 2005 and Aksakovo

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