Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Fratria: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ivailo, Veliko Târnovo
The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Etar Veliko Tarnovo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Fratria?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Etar Veliko Tarnovo (1,652) and Fratria (1,727).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etar Veliko Tarnovo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Fratria have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Yantra 2019(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 5-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Marek(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Fratria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1-1 Fratria | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Fratria 2-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1-1 Fratria | Second League |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Fratria 3-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Fratria on Feb 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Etar Veliko Tarnovo score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fratria score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Fratria | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etar Veliko Tarnovo sit 2nd in Second League (10 points from 5 matches) and Fratria sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Fratria | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Fratria?
- The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Etar Veliko Tarnovo.
- Where and when is Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Fratria played?
- Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Fratria is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ivailo, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026NesebarvsCSKA Sofia II
- Oct 10, 2026MontanavsLudogorets II
- Oct 10, 2026DobrudzhavsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Oct 10, 2026Pirin BlagoevgradvsSpartak Pleven
- Oct 10, 2026Yantra 2019vsVihren
- Oct 10, 2026MarekvsBeroe
- Oct 10, 2026Rilski SportistvsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Oct 10, 2026Sportist SvogevsHebar 1918