Lillestrom vs Ham-Kam: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 28Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Åråsen Stadion, Kjeller
The Footlab AI model makes Lillestrom the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Ham-Kam. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lillestrom wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lillestrom vs Ham-Kam?
On Elo ratings, Lillestrom has 2,033 points and Ham-Kam 1,953.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lillestrom vs Ham-Kam
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lillestrom
4-1-4-1- 10T. Lehne Olsen
- 20Vá
- 14G. Nyheim
- 17E. Kitolano
- 22D. Bassi
- 21F. Ottosson
- 11F. Elkær
- 2L. Ranger
- 28R. Gabrielsen
- 5S. Foss
- 12P. Dahlberg
Ham-Kam
5-3-2- 18Duarte Moreira
- 24D. Al-Saed
- 14L. Mares
- 26P. Metcalfe
- 8M. Johnsgård
- 22S. Nilsen
- 23F. Sjølstad
- 2M. Gjone
- 5A. Andresen
- 3E. Amundsen-Day
- 12M. Sandberg
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lillestrom have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Ham-Kam have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Molde(home) | 2-2 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Bærum(away) | 5-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Viking(away) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Valerenga(home) | 2-0 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Start(away) | 4-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tromso(away) | 2-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kjelsås(away) | 2-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Molde(home) | 1-5 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rosenborg(away) | 0-4 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lillestrom wins, 1 draw, 2 Ham-Kam wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Ham-Kam 2-0 Lillestrom | Eliteserien |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Ham-Kam 0-2 Lillestrom | NM Cupen |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Lillestrom 1-0 Ham-Kam | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Ham-Kam 5-0 Lillestrom | Eliteserien |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Lillestrom 1-1 Ham-Kam | Eliteserien |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Lillestrom 3-1 Ham-Kam | Eliteserien |
Last archived meeting: Ham-Kam vs Lillestrom on May 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lillestrom score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ham-Kam score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillestrom | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Ham-Kam | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lillestrom sit 6th in Eliteserien (33 points from 22 matches) and Ham-Kam sit 11th (26 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lillestrom | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 31 | 33 |
| 11 | Ham-Kam | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 46 | 26 |
A question about Lillestrom vs Ham-Kam?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lillestrom vs Ham-Kam?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lillestrom the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Ham-Kam.
- Where and when is Lillestrom vs Ham-Kam played?
- Lillestrom vs Ham-Kam is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Åråsen Stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.