Lillestrom vs Ham-Kam: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 28Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Åråsen Stadion, Kjeller
The Footlab model makes Lillestrom the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Ham-Kam. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lillestrom vs Ham-Kam?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Lillestrom (2,026) and Ham-Kam (1,944).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lillestrom have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Ham-Kam have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rosenborg(home) | 0-2 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(away) | 0-4 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Viking(home) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Trysil FK(away) | 5-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Brann(away) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Aalesund(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Valerenga(away) | 3-0 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(away) | 0-1 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lillestrom win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ham-Kam win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Ham-Kam 2-0 Lillestrom | Eliteserien |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Ham-Kam 0-2 Lillestrom | NM Cupen |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Lillestrom 1-0 Ham-Kam | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Ham-Kam 5-0 Lillestrom | Eliteserien |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Lillestrom 1-1 Ham-Kam | Eliteserien |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Lillestrom 3-1 Ham-Kam | Eliteserien |
Last archived meeting: Ham-Kam vs Lillestrom on May 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lillestrom score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ham-Kam score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillestrom | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Ham-Kam | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lillestrom sit 5th in Eliteserien (26 points from 17 matches) and Ham-Kam sit 10th (22 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lillestrom | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 26 |
| 10 | Ham-Kam | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 30 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lillestrom vs Ham-Kam?
- The Footlab model makes Lillestrom the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Ham-Kam.
- Where and when is Lillestrom vs Ham-Kam played?
- Lillestrom vs Ham-Kam is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Åråsen Stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.