Rosenborg vs Molde: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 28Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim
The Footlab AI model makes Rosenborg the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Molde. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rosenborg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rosenborg vs Molde?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Rosenborg (2,027) and Molde (2,022).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rosenborg vs Molde
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rosenborg
4-4-2- 35E. Ceïde
- 18Amin Chiakha
- 10O. Selnæs
- 17M. Bomholt
- 11N. Sahsah
- 7S. Nordli
- 19A. Pereira
- 21T. Nemčík
- 4M. Ceïde
- 22J. Svensson
- 1L. Wahlstedt
Molde
4-2-3-1- 9J. Abdulai
- 10E. Breivik
- 30D. Daga
- 23S. Granaas
- 16S. Kilen
- 11C. Zady Sery
- 25M. Linnes
- 27F. Dahl
- 8M. Løvik
- 19E. Haugan
- 22A. Posiadała
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rosenborg have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Molde have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sandefjord(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(away) | 3-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fløya(away) | 4-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tromso(home) | 5-3 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lillestrom(away) | 2-2 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aalesund(home) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Trygg/Lade(away) | 5-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ham-Kam(away) | 5-1 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rosenborg wins, 2 draws, 2 Molde wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | Rosenborg 2-1 Molde | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Molde 2-0 Rosenborg | Eliteserien |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Molde 4-2 Rosenborg | Eliteserien |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Rosenborg 0-0 Molde | Eliteserien |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Rosenborg 2-1 Molde | Eliteserien |
| May 11, 2024 | Molde 2-2 Rosenborg | Eliteserien |
How many goals should we expect?
Rosenborg score 3.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Molde score 3.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg | 3.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Molde | 3.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rosenborg sit 5th in Eliteserien (34 points from 22 matches) and Molde sit 4th (37 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Molde | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 46 | 34 | 37 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 34 |
A question about Rosenborg vs Molde?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rosenborg vs Molde?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rosenborg the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Molde.
- Where and when is Rosenborg vs Molde played?
- Rosenborg vs Molde is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Lerkendal Stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.