Frome Town vs Plymouth Parkway: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)AlderSmith Stadium, Frome, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Plymouth Parkway. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frome Town vs Plymouth Parkway?
Frome Town starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,914 vs 1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frome Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Plymouth Parkway have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Weymouth(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 7-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Frome Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Plymouth Parkway win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Plymouth Parkway 0-4 Frome Town | FA Cup |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Plymouth Parkway 0-3 Frome Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Frome Town 5-0 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 19, 2023 | Frome Town 2-1 Plymouth Parkway | FA Cup |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Plymouth Parkway 2-2 Frome Town | FA Cup |
| Nov 16, 2021 | Frome Town 1-0 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Div One - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Plymouth Parkway vs Frome Town on Aug 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth Parkway score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frome Town | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Plymouth Parkway | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frome Town sit 7th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Plymouth Parkway sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Plymouth Parkway | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Frome Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frome Town vs Plymouth Parkway?
- The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Plymouth Parkway.
- Where and when is Frome Town vs Plymouth Parkway played?
- Frome Town vs Plymouth Parkway is played on November 11, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at AlderSmith Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 10, 2026Wimborne TownvsPoole Town
- Nov 10, 2026UxbridgevsHanwell Town
- Nov 10, 2026Chertsey TownvsChichester City
- Nov 10, 2026Evesham UnitedvsYate Town
- Nov 10, 2026SholingvsChippenham Town
- Nov 10, 2026Gloucester CityvsMalvern Town
- Nov 10, 2026Bath CityvsTaunton Town
- Nov 10, 2026Hanworth VillavsBerkhamsted