Plymouth Parkway vs Frome Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Manadon Sports Hub, Plymouth, Devon
The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Plymouth Parkway. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plymouth Parkway vs Frome Town?
Frome Town starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,883 vs 1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth Parkway have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Frome Town have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 7-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Weymouth(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Plymouth Parkway win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Frome Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Plymouth Parkway 0-4 Frome Town | FA Cup |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Plymouth Parkway 0-3 Frome Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Frome Town 5-0 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 19, 2023 | Frome Town 2-1 Plymouth Parkway | FA Cup |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Plymouth Parkway 2-2 Frome Town | FA Cup |
| Nov 16, 2021 | Frome Town 1-0 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Div One - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Plymouth Parkway vs Frome Town on Aug 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Plymouth Parkway score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth Parkway | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Frome Town | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plymouth Parkway sit 5th in Non League Premier - Southern South (7 points from 4 matches) and Frome Town sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Plymouth Parkway | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Frome Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plymouth Parkway vs Frome Town?
- The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Plymouth Parkway.
- Where and when is Plymouth Parkway vs Frome Town played?
- Plymouth Parkway vs Frome Town is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Manadon Sports Hub, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 22, 2026Taunton TownvsBath City
- Sep 22, 2026BerkhamstedvsHanworth Villa
- Sep 22, 2026Basingstoke TownvsGosport Borough
- Sep 22, 2026Bracknell TownvsHavant & Wville
- Sep 22, 2026Chichester CityvsChertsey Town
- Sep 22, 2026Hanwell TownvsUxbridge
- Sep 22, 2026Poole TownvsWimborne Town
- Sep 22, 2026Yate TownvsEvesham United