Frýdlant vs Zbrojovka Brno: prediction and stats
CupRound of 64Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stadion 1. BFK Frýdlant, Frýdlant nad Ostravicí
The Footlab model makes Zbrojovka Brno the favourite at 89%, against 8% for a draw and 3% for Frýdlant. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frýdlant vs Zbrojovka Brno?
Zbrojovka Brno is a heavy favourite: 2,029 Elo points against 1,527 — a 502-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frýdlant have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Zbrojovka Brno have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kravare(away) | 2-7 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nový Jičín(home) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Opava(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pustá Polom(away) | 0-3 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 26, 2026 | TJ Bystrice(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Teplice(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(home) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Plzen(away) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sparta Praha(home) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Podbrezová(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Frýdlant score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Zbrojovka Brno score 2.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frýdlant | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Zbrojovka Brno | 2.0 | 0.5 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frýdlant vs Zbrojovka Brno?
- The Footlab model makes Zbrojovka Brno the favourite at 89%, against 8% for a draw and 3% for Frýdlant.
- Where and when is Frýdlant vs Zbrojovka Brno played?
- Frýdlant vs Zbrojovka Brno is played on August 26, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion 1. BFK Frýdlant, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.