FSV Zwickau vs BSG Chemie Leipzig: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 25Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)GGZ Arena, Zwickau
The Footlab model makes FSV Zwickau the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for BSG Chemie Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FSV Zwickau vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
FSV Zwickau starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,928 vs 1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FSV Zwickau have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; BSG Chemie Leipzig have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Luckenwalde(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FSV Zwickau win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 BSG Chemie Leipzig win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | FSV Zwickau 1-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 29, 2025 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-2 FSV Zwickau | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| May 11, 2025 | FSV Zwickau 1-1 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 24, 2024 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 0-2 FSV Zwickau | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 10, 2024 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-2 FSV Zwickau | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 22, 2023 | FSV Zwickau 0-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: FSV Zwickau vs BSG Chemie Leipzig on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FSV Zwickau score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Zwickau | 2.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FSV Zwickau sit 10th in Regionalliga - Nordost (7 points from 5 matches) and BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 18th (1 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | FSV Zwickau | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| 18 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FSV Zwickau vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
- The Footlab model makes FSV Zwickau the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for BSG Chemie Leipzig.
- Where and when is FSV Zwickau vs BSG Chemie Leipzig played?
- FSV Zwickau vs BSG Chemie Leipzig is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at GGZ Arena, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 14, 2027Hallescher FCvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Mar 14, 2027Chemnitzer FCvsAltglienicke
- Mar 14, 2027Hertha BSC IIvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Mar 14, 2027Lokomotive LeipzigvsGreifswalder FC
- Mar 14, 2027LuckenwaldevsErzgebirge Aue
- Mar 14, 2027Tasmania BerlinvsBFC Dynamo
- Mar 14, 2027RSV EintrachtvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Mar 14, 2027Magdeburg IIvsBFC Preussen