Match

FSV Zwickau vs BSG Chemie Leipzig: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 25Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)GGZ Arena, Zwickau

FSV ZwickauBSG Chemie Leipzig

The Footlab model makes FSV Zwickau the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for BSG Chemie Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FSV Zwickau vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?

FSV Zwickau starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,928 vs 1,799).

FSV Zwickau win53 %
Draw25 %
BSG Chemie Leipzig win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FSV Zwickau have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; BSG Chemie Leipzig have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FSV Zwickau
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Luckenwalde(home)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026BFC Dynamo(away)0-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026Chemnitzer FC(away)1-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026Greifswalder FC(home)0-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 26, 2026FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
BSG Chemie Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Magdeburg II(away)0-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 14, 2026FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home)0-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026RSV Eintracht(away)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026Hallescher FC(home)0-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026BFC Dynamo(away)0-2Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FSV Zwickau win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 BSG Chemie Leipzig win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026FSV Zwickau 1-0 BSG Chemie LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
Nov 29, 2025BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-2 FSV ZwickauRegionalliga - Nordost
May 11, 2025FSV Zwickau 1-1 BSG Chemie LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
Nov 24, 2024BSG Chemie Leipzig 0-2 FSV ZwickauRegionalliga - Nordost
Mar 10, 2024BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-2 FSV ZwickauRegionalliga - Nordost
Sep 22, 2023FSV Zwickau 0-0 BSG Chemie LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: FSV Zwickau vs BSG Chemie Leipzig on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FSV Zwickau score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FSV Zwickau2.01.7410/1510/15
BSG Chemie Leipzig1.11.326/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FSV Zwickau sit 10th in Regionalliga - Nordost (7 points from 5 matches) and BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 18th (1 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10FSV Zwickau5212587
18BSG Chemie Leipzig6015181

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FSV Zwickau vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
The Footlab model makes FSV Zwickau the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for BSG Chemie Leipzig.
Where and when is FSV Zwickau vs BSG Chemie Leipzig played?
FSV Zwickau vs BSG Chemie Leipzig is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at GGZ Arena, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FSV Zwickau and BSG Chemie Leipzig

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