BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Tasmania Berlin: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 26Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, Leipzig
The Footlab model makes BSG Chemie Leipzig the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Tasmania Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Tasmania Berlin?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate BSG Chemie Leipzig (1,804) and Tasmania Berlin (1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BSG Chemie Leipzig have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Tasmania Berlin have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 0-6 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 BSG Chemie Leipzig win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Tasmania Berlin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | Tasmania Berlin 0-1 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 7, 2021 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 2-0 Tasmania Berlin | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Tasmania Berlin vs BSG Chemie Leipzig on Jan 30, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Tasmania Berlin | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 18th in Regionalliga - Nordost (1 points from 6 matches) and Tasmania Berlin sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Tasmania Berlin | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
| 18 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Tasmania Berlin?
- The Footlab model makes BSG Chemie Leipzig the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Tasmania Berlin.
- Where and when is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Tasmania Berlin played?
- BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Tasmania Berlin is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 21, 2027Erzgebirge AuevsMagdeburg II
- Mar 21, 2027FC Carl Zeiss JenavsHallescher FC
- Mar 21, 2027FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsHertha BSC II
- Mar 21, 2027BFC PreussenvsLuckenwalde
- Mar 21, 2027SV Babelsberg 03vsChemnitzer FC
- Mar 21, 2027BFC DynamovsLokomotive Leipzig
- Mar 21, 2027AltglienickevsFSV Zwickau
- Mar 21, 2027Greifswalder FCvsRSV Eintracht