Match

Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Dynamo: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 25Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, Berlin

Tasmania BerlinBFC Dynamo

The Footlab model makes Tasmania Berlin the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for BFC Dynamo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Dynamo?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Tasmania Berlin (1,818) and BFC Dynamo (1,849).

Tasmania Berlin win40 %
Draw25 %
BFC Dynamo win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tasmania Berlin have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; BFC Dynamo have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tasmania Berlin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(home)2-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026Luckenwalde(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)0-6Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(home)0-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2026Magdeburg II(away)1-5Regionalliga - Nordost
BFC Dynamo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026BFC Preussen(home)2-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 14, 2026Hertha BSC II(away)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026FSV Zwickau(home)0-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 6, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(away)2-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026BSG Chemie Leipzig(home)2-0Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Tasmania Berlin win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 BFC Dynamo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 17, 2026Tasmania Berlin 1-0 BFC DynamoFriendlies Clubs
Feb 11, 2022Tasmania Berlin 0-3 BFC DynamoRegionalliga - Nordost
Aug 18, 2021BFC Dynamo 6-0 Tasmania BerlinRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Dynamo on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; BFC Dynamo score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tasmania Berlin2.32.539/1512/15
BFC Dynamo1.51.367/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tasmania Berlin sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and BFC Dynamo sit 9th (8 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9BFC Dynamo6222888
16Tasmania Berlin51046183

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Dynamo?
The Footlab model makes Tasmania Berlin the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for BFC Dynamo.
Where and when is Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Dynamo played?
Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Dynamo is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tasmania Berlin and BFC Dynamo

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