Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Dynamo: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 25Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Tasmania Berlin the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for BFC Dynamo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Dynamo?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Tasmania Berlin (1,818) and BFC Dynamo (1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tasmania Berlin have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; BFC Dynamo have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 0-6 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Tasmania Berlin win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 BFC Dynamo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin 1-0 BFC Dynamo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 11, 2022 | Tasmania Berlin 0-3 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 18, 2021 | BFC Dynamo 6-0 Tasmania Berlin | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Dynamo on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; BFC Dynamo score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tasmania Berlin | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| BFC Dynamo | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tasmania Berlin sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and BFC Dynamo sit 9th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | BFC Dynamo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| 16 | Tasmania Berlin | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Dynamo?
- The Footlab model makes Tasmania Berlin the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for BFC Dynamo.
- Where and when is Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Dynamo played?
- Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Dynamo is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 14, 2027FSV ZwickauvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Mar 14, 2027Hallescher FCvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Mar 14, 2027Chemnitzer FCvsAltglienicke
- Mar 14, 2027Hertha BSC IIvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Mar 14, 2027Lokomotive LeipzigvsGreifswalder FC
- Mar 14, 2027LuckenwaldevsErzgebirge Aue
- Mar 14, 2027RSV EintrachtvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Mar 14, 2027Magdeburg IIvsBFC Preussen