Match

Lokomotive Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 25Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bruno-Plache-Stadion, Leipzig

Lokomotive LeipzigGreifswalder FC

The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Greifswalder FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lokomotive Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Lokomotive Leipzig (1,971) and Greifswalder FC (1,907).

Lokomotive Leipzig win40 %
Draw26 %
Greifswalder FC win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotive Leipzig have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Greifswalder FC have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lokomotive Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Chemnitzer FC(home)0-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 16, 2026Tasmania Berlin(away)3-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026Hertha BSC II(home)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026BFC Preussen(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026Magdeburg II(home)3-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Greifswalder FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026SV Babelsberg 03(home)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026BFC Preussen(away)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 7, 2026Altglienicke(home)1-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026Hertha BSC II(away)4-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026FSV Zwickau(away)3-0Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Greifswalder FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Greifswalder FC 1-1 Lokomotive LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
Nov 21, 2025Lokomotive Leipzig 3-0 Greifswalder FCRegionalliga - Nordost
Apr 25, 2025Lokomotive Leipzig 0-0 Greifswalder FCRegionalliga - Nordost
Nov 3, 2024Greifswalder FC 1-1 Lokomotive LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
Feb 18, 2024Greifswalder FC 4-0 Lokomotive LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
Aug 26, 2023Lokomotive Leipzig 0-1 Greifswalder FCRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Greifswalder FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Greifswalder FC score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lokomotive Leipzig1.81.7211/1510/15
Greifswalder FC2.51.3311/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lokomotive Leipzig sit 6th in Regionalliga - Nordost (10 points from 6 matches) and Greifswalder FC sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Lokomotive Leipzig6312121110
8Greifswalder FC52211178

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lokomotive Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC?
The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Greifswalder FC.
Where and when is Lokomotive Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC played?
Lokomotive Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bruno-Plache-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lokomotive Leipzig and Greifswalder FC

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