Lokomotive Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 25Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bruno-Plache-Stadion, Leipzig
The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Greifswalder FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotive Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Lokomotive Leipzig (1,971) and Greifswalder FC (1,907).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotive Leipzig have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Greifswalder FC have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Greifswalder FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Greifswalder FC 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Lokomotive Leipzig 3-0 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Lokomotive Leipzig 0-0 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Greifswalder FC 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Greifswalder FC 4-0 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Lokomotive Leipzig 0-1 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Greifswalder FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Greifswalder FC score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotive Leipzig | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Greifswalder FC | 2.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotive Leipzig sit 6th in Regionalliga - Nordost (10 points from 6 matches) and Greifswalder FC sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotive Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Greifswalder FC.
- Where and when is Lokomotive Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC played?
- Lokomotive Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bruno-Plache-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 14, 2027FSV ZwickauvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Mar 14, 2027Hallescher FCvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Mar 14, 2027Chemnitzer FCvsAltglienicke
- Mar 14, 2027Hertha BSC IIvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Mar 14, 2027LuckenwaldevsErzgebirge Aue
- Mar 14, 2027Tasmania BerlinvsBFC Dynamo
- Mar 14, 2027RSV EintrachtvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Mar 14, 2027Magdeburg IIvsBFC Preussen