Match

Luckenwalde vs Erzgebirge Aue: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 25Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, Luckenwalde

LuckenwaldeErzgebirge Aue

The Footlab AI model makes Erzgebirge Aue the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 1-1. If Erzgebirge Aue wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,823 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Luckenwalde vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Erzgebirge Aue starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,890 vs 1,764).

19%23%58%
Luckenwalde winDrawErzgebirge Aue win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Luckenwalde vs Erzgebirge Aue

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Luckenwalde

4-3-3
  1. 19S. Gollnack
  2. LL. Will
  3. 27P. König
  1. 20T. Maciejewski
  2. 27J. Kühn
  3. MMatthew Till Meier
  1. TTim Meyer
  2. RR. Merke
  3. CC. Koplin
  4. SS. R. Jannene
  1. KK. Tittel

Erzgebirge Aue

4-2-3-1
  1. 15M. Bär
  1. 30S. Skarlatidis
  2. 27T. Maciejewski
  3. 3D. Angleberger
  4. 8N. Lihsek
  5. 22W. Kamm
  1. 5B. Strietzel
  2. 21M. Burghardt
  3. 29S. Kokovas
  4. 19C. Pauling
  1. 1M. Männel

Computed on October 29, 2026 at 01:54 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luckenwalde have 3 wins, 0 draws and 12 defeats; Erzgebirge Aue have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Luckenwalde
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 23, 2026Altglienicke(away)1-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Oct 17, 2026FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Oct 9, 2026BSG Chemie Leipzig(away)3-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Oct 2, 2026Magdeburg II(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 27, 2026SV Babelsberg 03(home)2-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Erzgebirge Aue
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026FSV Zwickau(away)3-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Oct 18, 2026Hallescher FC(home)0-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Oct 11, 2026Greifswalder FC(away)0-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Sep 27, 2026BSG Chemie Leipzig(home)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Sep 19, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)2-2Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Luckenwalde wins, 0 draws, 1 Erzgebirge Aue win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 12, 2026Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 LuckenwaldeRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Erzgebirge Aue vs Luckenwalde on Sep 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Luckenwalde score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Erzgebirge Aue score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Luckenwalde1.12.3110/1512/15
Erzgebirge Aue1.51.539/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Luckenwalde sit 18th in Regionalliga - Nordost (6 points from 14 matches) and Erzgebirge Aue sit 7th (24 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Erzgebirge Aue14734231824
18Luckenwalde14201214346

A question about Luckenwalde vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Luckenwalde vs Erzgebirge Aue?
The Footlab AI model makes Erzgebirge Aue the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Luckenwalde.
Where and when is Luckenwalde vs Erzgebirge Aue played?
Luckenwalde vs Erzgebirge Aue is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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