Where and when is Luckenwalde vs Erzgebirge Aue played?

Luckenwalde vs Erzgebirge Aue is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Luckenwalde vs Erzgebirge Aue: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 25Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, Luckenwalde

Luckenwalde

Erzgebirge Aue

The Footlab model makes Erzgebirge Aue the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Luckenwalde vs Erzgebirge Aue?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Luckenwalde (1,773) and Erzgebirge Aue (1,840).

Luckenwalde win35 %

Draw26 %

Erzgebirge Aue win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luckenwalde have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Erzgebirge Aue have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Luckenwalde
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home)	0-5	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 14, 2026	FSV Zwickau(away)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026	Tasmania Berlin(home)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026	Magdeburg II(away)	1-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026	RSV Eintracht(away)	0-3	Regionalliga - Nordost

Erzgebirge Aue
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(home)	0-4	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Chemnitzer FC(away)	1-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026	BFC Preussen(home)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 6, 2026	BFC Dynamo(home)	3-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026	Tasmania Berlin(away)	2-0	Regionalliga - Nordost

How many goals should we expect?

Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Erzgebirge Aue score 2.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Luckenwalde	0.9	1.7	3	8/15	7/15
Erzgebirge Aue	2.5	1.8	4	10/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Luckenwalde sit 15th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 6 matches) and Erzgebirge Aue sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Erzgebirge Aue	5	3	1	1	11	9	10
15	Luckenwalde	6	1	0	5	5	16	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Luckenwalde vs Erzgebirge Aue?: The Footlab model makes Erzgebirge Aue the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Luckenwalde.
Where and when is Luckenwalde vs Erzgebirge Aue played?: Luckenwalde vs Erzgebirge Aue is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.