Where and when is Tochigi SC vs Fukushima United played?

Tochigi SC vs Fukushima United is played on November 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kanseki Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tochigi SC vs Fukushima United: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kanseki Stadium, Utsunomiya

Tochigi SC

Fukushima United

The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Fukushima United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tochigi SC vs Fukushima United?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Tochigi SC (1,729) and Fukushima United (1,673).

Tochigi SC win52 %

Draw23 %

Fukushima United win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tochigi SC have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Fukushima United have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tochigi SC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(away)	1-3	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Kitakyushu(home)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Urayasu(home)	2-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(away)	0-0	J3 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kanazawa(home)	3-2	J3 League

Fukushima United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(away)	0-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Gainare Tottori(away)	1-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Oyama(home)	7-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Kanazawa(away)	3-4	J3 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(home)	1-2	J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Tochigi SC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Fukushima United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 12, 2025	Tochigi SC 1-0 Fukushima United	J3 League
Jun 15, 2025	Fukushima United 2-2 Tochigi SC	J3 League
Oct 22, 2017	Fukushima United 0-2 Tochigi SC	J3 League
May 21, 2017	Tochigi SC 2-1 Fukushima United	J3 League
Oct 16, 2016	Tochigi SC 3-1 Fukushima United	J3 League
Apr 10, 2016	Fukushima United 2-1 Tochigi SC	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Tochigi SC vs Fukushima United on Oct 12, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Tochigi SC score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Fukushima United score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tochigi SC	1.0	1.2	5	8/15	7/15
Fukushima United	1.8	1.7	2	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tochigi SC sit 8th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Fukushima United sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Tochigi SC	3	1	2	0	5	4	5
19	Fukushima United	3	0	0	3	5	8	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tochigi SC vs Fukushima United?: The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Fukushima United.
Where and when is Tochigi SC vs Fukushima United played?: Tochigi SC vs Fukushima United is played on November 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kanseki Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.