Liverpool vs Chelsea: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Anfield, Liverpool
The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Chelsea. The most likely score is 1-1. If Liverpool wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,192 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Liverpool vs Chelsea?
On Elo ratings, Liverpool has 2,201 points and Chelsea 2,135.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Liverpool vs Chelsea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Liverpool
4-2-3-1- 9A. Isak
- 10A. Mac Allister
- 29B. Barcola
- 18C. Gakpo
- 7F. Wirtz
- 8D. Szoboszlai
- 4V. van Dijk
- 5Jérémy Jacquet
- 33R. Araújo
- 6M. Kerkez
- 1Alisson Becker
Chelsea
4-2-3-1- 7Pedro Neto
- 17M. Rogers
- 25M. Caicedo
- 10C. Palmer
- 45R. Lavia
- 14J. Henderson
- 6L. Colwill
- 3W. Fofana
- 2M. Palestra
- 34Joshua Kofi Acheampong
- 39M. Penders
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 03:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liverpool have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Chelsea have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Chelsea(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Everton(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Liverpool wins, 2 draws, 2 Chelsea wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea | League Cup |
| May 9, 2026 | Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Chelsea 2-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
| May 4, 2025 | Chelsea 3-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Chelsea 0-1 Liverpool | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Liverpool score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chelsea score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Chelsea | 2.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Liverpool sit 4th in Premier League (18 points from 10 matches) and Chelsea sit 5th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 16 |
A question about Liverpool vs Chelsea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Liverpool vs Chelsea?
- The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Chelsea.
- Where and when is Liverpool vs Chelsea played?
- Liverpool vs Chelsea is played on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Anfield, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.