Hull City vs Bournemouth: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The MKM Stadium, Hull
The Footlab AI model makes Bournemouth the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Hull City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bournemouth wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hull City vs Bournemouth?
Bournemouth starts as the favourite with a 219-point Elo edge (2,205 vs 1,986).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hull City vs Bournemouth
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hull City
5-4-1- 9O. McBurnie
- 27R. Slater
- 25M. Crooks
- 7S. Thomas
- 10M. Belloumi
- 2L. Coyle
- 6S. Ajayi
- 3R. Giles
- 15J. Egan
- 32N. Mendy
- 19K. Tzolakis
Bournemouth
4-2-3-1- 9Evanilson
- 16M. Tavernier
- 37Rayan
- 12T. Adams
- 10R. Christie
- 7D. Brooks
- 5J. Hill
- 14António Silva
- 15A. Smith
- 3A. Truffert
- 1Đ. Petrović
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hull City have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Bournemouth have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Everton(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Liverpool(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Real Sociedad(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 4-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Hull City wins, 1 draw, 1 Bournemouth win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | Bournemouth 0-1 Hull City | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Hull City 0-0 Bournemouth | Championship |
| Jan 14, 2017 | Hull City 3-1 Bournemouth | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Bournemouth 6-1 Hull City | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Bournemouth vs Hull City on Jan 22, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Hull City score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bournemouth score 2.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | 1.2 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Bournemouth | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hull City sit 8th in Premier League (9 points from 6 matches) and Bournemouth sit 18th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 3 |
A question about Hull City vs Bournemouth?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hull City vs Bournemouth?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bournemouth the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Hull City.
- Where and when is Hull City vs Bournemouth played?
- Hull City vs Bournemouth is played on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The MKM Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.