Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Selhurst Park, London
The Footlab AI model makes Aston Villa the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Crystal Palace. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aston Villa wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa?
Aston Villa starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (2,284 vs 2,152).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1- 22J. Strand Larsen
- 3T. Mitchell
- 20A. Wharton
- 10Yeremy Pino
- 23Q. Timber
- 18D. Kamada
- 25A. Khalaili
- 26C. Richards
- 6J. Canvot
- 21H. Ahanor
- 44W. Benítez
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1- 11N. Jackson
- 8B. Kamara
- 10E. Buendía
- 44J. Manzambi
- 35João Gomes
- 7J. McGinn
- 3V. Lindelöf
- 5T. Mings
- 2M. Cash
- 29A. Wan-Bissaka
- 1Z. Suzuki
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 01:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crystal Palace have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Aston Villa have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(home) | 6-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Crystal Palace wins, 2 draws, 0 Aston Villa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | Crystal Palace 0-0 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Aston Villa 0-3 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Crystal Palace 3-0 Aston Villa | FA Cup |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Crystal Palace 4-1 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Aston Villa 2-2 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Aston Villa 1-2 Crystal Palace | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa on Jan 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crystal Palace score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 1.5 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Aston Villa | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crystal Palace sit 14th in Premier League (7 points from 7 matches) and Aston Villa sit 12th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 8 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 7 |
A question about Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aston Villa the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Crystal Palace.
- Where and when is Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa played?
- Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa is played on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Selhurst Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.