Fylkir vs Grotta: prediction and stats
1. DeildRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC)Würth völlurinn, Reykjavík
The Footlab model makes Fylkir the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Grotta. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fylkir vs Grotta?
Fylkir starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,698 vs 1,572).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fylkir have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Grotta have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grindavik(home) | 6-1 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Throttur Reykjavik(away) | 1-3 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Afturelding(home) | 3-3 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Leiknir R.(away) | 0-3 | 1. Deild |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Völsungur(home) | 3-1 | 1. Deild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | IR Reykjavik(home) | 1-3 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Grindavik(away) | 0-0 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Njardvik(home) | 1-4 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Throttur Reykjavik(home) | 1-1 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Vestri(away) | 3-0 | 1. Deild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Fylkir win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Grotta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Grotta 2-5 Fylkir | 1. Deild |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Fylkir 4-2 Grotta | Cup |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Fylkir 5-1 Grotta | 1. Deild |
| Jun 23, 2022 | Grotta 2-5 Fylkir | 1. Deild |
| Aug 30, 2020 | Grotta 0-2 Fylkir | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jun 29, 2020 | Fylkir 2-0 Grotta | Úrvalsdeild |
How many goals should we expect?
Fylkir score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Grotta score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fylkir | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Grotta | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fylkir sit 3rd in 1. Deild (37 points from 20 matches) and Grotta sit 6th (27 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Fylkir | 20 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 45 | 33 | 37 |
| 6 | Grotta | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 36 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fylkir vs Grotta?
- The Footlab model makes Fylkir the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Grotta.
- Where and when is Fylkir vs Grotta played?
- Fylkir vs Grotta is played on August 28, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC) at Würth völlurinn, in the 1. Deild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.