Leiknir R. vs Njardvik: prediction and stats
1. DeildRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Leiknisvöllur, Reykjavík
The Footlab model makes Njardvik the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Leiknir R.. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leiknir R. vs Njardvik?
Njardvik starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,682 vs 1,543).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiknir R. have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Njardvik have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vestri(away) | 0-2 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Ægir(home) | 6-1 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 13, 2026 | HK Kopavogur(away) | 1-2 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Fylkir(home) | 3-0 | 1. Deild |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Grindavik(away) | 0-1 | 1. Deild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Völsungur(home) | 4-0 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 17, 2026 | IR Reykjavik(away) | 1-3 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Grotta(away) | 4-1 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vestri(home) | 3-1 | 1. Deild |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ægir(away) | 1-0 | 1. Deild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Leiknir R. win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Njardvik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 2026 | Njardvik 1-0 Leiknir R. | 1. Deild |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Njardvik 3-1 Leiknir R. | 1. Deild |
| Jun 20, 2025 | Leiknir R. 1-1 Njardvik | 1. Deild |
| Jul 18, 2024 | Njardvik 3-2 Leiknir R. | 1. Deild |
| May 3, 2024 | Leiknir R. 1-2 Njardvik | 1. Deild |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Njardvik 2-4 Leiknir R. | 1. Deild |
Last archived meeting: Njardvik vs Leiknir R. on Jun 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leiknir R. score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Njardvik score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiknir R. | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Njardvik | 2.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leiknir R. sit 8th in 1. Deild (25 points from 20 matches) and Njardvik sit 5th (35 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Njardvik | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 26 | 35 |
| 8 | Leiknir R. | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 30 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leiknir R. vs Njardvik?
- The Footlab model makes Njardvik the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Leiknir R..
- Where and when is Leiknir R. vs Njardvik played?
- Leiknir R. vs Njardvik is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Leiknisvöllur, in the 1. Deild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.