Throttur Reykjavik vs Ægir: prediction and stats
1. DeildRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC)Eimskipsvöllurinn, Reykjavík
The Footlab model makes Throttur Reykjavik the favourite at 86%, against 10% for a draw and 5% for Ægir. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Throttur Reykjavik vs Ægir?
Throttur Reykjavik is a heavy favourite: 1,723 Elo points against 1,398, a 325-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Throttur Reykjavik have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ægir have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | HK Kopavogur(away) | 0-3 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Fylkir(home) | 3-1 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Grindavik(away) | 1-2 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grotta(away) | 1-1 | 1. Deild |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Afturelding(home) | 4-1 | 1. Deild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Afturelding(home) | 0-7 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Leiknir R.(away) | 1-6 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Völsungur(home) | 0-2 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 6, 2026 | IR Reykjavik(away) | 2-3 | 1. Deild |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Njardvik(home) | 0-1 | 1. Deild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Throttur Reykjavik win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ægir win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Ægir 1-3 Throttur Reykjavik | 1. Deild |
| Jul 27, 2023 | Ægir 2-2 Throttur Reykjavik | 1. Deild |
| May 21, 2023 | Throttur Reykjavik 3-1 Ægir | 1. Deild |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Throttur Reykjavik 2-1 Ægir | 2. Deild |
| Jul 8, 2022 | Ægir 3-0 Throttur Reykjavik | 2. Deild |
| Apr 30, 2019 | Ægir 0-4 Throttur Reykjavik | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Ægir vs Throttur Reykjavik on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Throttur Reykjavik score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ægir score 1.1 and concede 3.7. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Throttur Reykjavik | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Ægir | 1.1 | 3.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Throttur Reykjavik sit 2nd in 1. Deild (37 points from 20 matches) and Ægir sit 12th (8 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Throttur Reykjavik | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 23 | 37 |
| 12 | Ægir | 20 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 22 | 61 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Throttur Reykjavik vs Ægir?
- The Footlab model makes Throttur Reykjavik the favourite at 86%, against 10% for a draw and 5% for Ægir.
- Where and when is Throttur Reykjavik vs Ægir played?
- Throttur Reykjavik vs Ægir is played on August 28, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC) at Eimskipsvöllurinn, in the 1. Deild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.