Grindavik vs HK Kopavogur: prediction and stats
1. DeildRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Mustad völlurinn, Grindavík
The Footlab model makes HK Kopavogur the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Grindavik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grindavik vs HK Kopavogur?
HK Kopavogur starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,692 vs 1,518).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grindavik have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; HK Kopavogur have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fylkir(away) | 1-6 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Grotta(home) | 0-0 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Throttur Reykjavik(home) | 2-1 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Afturelding(away) | 1-4 | 1. Deild |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Leiknir R.(home) | 1-0 | 1. Deild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Throttur Reykjavik(home) | 3-0 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Afturelding(away) | 2-2 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Leiknir R.(home) | 2-1 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Völsungur(away) | 2-3 | 1. Deild |
| Jul 29, 2026 | IR Reykjavik(home) | 5-1 | 1. Deild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Grindavik win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 HK Kopavogur win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | HK Kopavogur 2-2 Grindavik | 1. Deild |
| Aug 17, 2025 | HK Kopavogur 3-3 Grindavik | 1. Deild |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Grindavik 2-1 HK Kopavogur | 1. Deild |
| Feb 11, 2023 | HK Kopavogur 4-0 Grindavik | League Cup |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Grindavik 4-3 HK Kopavogur | 1. Deild |
| Jul 5, 2022 | HK Kopavogur 2-1 Grindavik | 1. Deild |
Last archived meeting: HK Kopavogur vs Grindavik on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Grindavik score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; HK Kopavogur score 2.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grindavik | 0.9 | 1.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| HK Kopavogur | 2.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grindavik sit 10th in 1. Deild (21 points from 20 matches) and HK Kopavogur sit 4th (35 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | HK Kopavogur | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 47 | 35 | 35 |
| 10 | Grindavik | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grindavik vs HK Kopavogur?
- The Footlab model makes HK Kopavogur the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Grindavik.
- Where and when is Grindavik vs HK Kopavogur played?
- Grindavik vs HK Kopavogur is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Mustad völlurinn, in the 1. Deild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.