Afturelding vs Vestri: prediction and stats
1. DeildRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Fagverksvöllurinn Varmá Gervigras, Mosfellsbær
The Footlab model makes Afturelding the favourite at 81%, against 11% for a draw and 7% for Vestri. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Afturelding vs Vestri?
Afturelding starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,741 vs 1,553).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afturelding have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Vestri have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ægir(away) | 7-0 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 17, 2026 | HK Kopavogur(home) | 2-2 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Fylkir(away) | 3-3 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Grindavik(home) | 4-1 | 1. Deild |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Throttur Reykjavik(away) | 1-4 | 1. Deild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leiknir R.(home) | 2-0 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Völsungur(away) | 0-2 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 13, 2026 | IR Reykjavik(home) | 1-0 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Njardvik(away) | 1-3 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Grotta(home) | 0-3 | 1. Deild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Afturelding win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Vestri win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Vestri 2-0 Afturelding | 1. Deild |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Afturelding 1-1 Vestri | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Afturelding 1-1 Vestri | Úrvalsdeild |
| May 10, 2025 | Vestri 2-0 Afturelding | Úrvalsdeild |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Vestri 1-0 Afturelding | 1. Deild |
| Aug 16, 2023 | Vestri 2-2 Afturelding | 1. Deild |
Last archived meeting: Vestri vs Afturelding on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Afturelding score 3.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Vestri score 1.1 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afturelding | 3.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Vestri | 1.1 | 2.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Afturelding sit 1st in 1. Deild (39 points from 19 matches) and Vestri sit 7th (27 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Afturelding | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 60 | 31 | 39 |
| 7 | Vestri | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 39 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Afturelding vs Vestri?
- The Footlab model makes Afturelding the favourite at 81%, against 11% for a draw and 7% for Vestri.
- Where and when is Afturelding vs Vestri played?
- Afturelding vs Vestri is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Fagverksvöllurinn Varmá Gervigras, in the 1. Deild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.